The Occasional Speculator

The Occasional Speculator

Share this post

The Occasional Speculator
The Occasional Speculator
CEASEFIRE HOLDING- RETURN TO RUM

CEASEFIRE HOLDING- RETURN TO RUM

CEASEFIRE HOLDING so far

The Occasional Speculator's avatar
The Occasional Speculator
Jun 27, 2025
∙ Paid
1

Share this post

The Occasional Speculator
The Occasional Speculator
CEASEFIRE HOLDING- RETURN TO RUM
Share


PEACE AT LAST? WHAT DOES THAT HAVE TO DO WITH INVESTING?

The four days starting with President Trump’s decision to bomb Iran’s nuclear sites and ending with President Trump engineering a ceasefire between Israel and Iran is beneficial short term (fewer people are killed from either side) but clearly tentative. The immediate speculative impact as judged by the commodity markets are:

  1. Stock market up slightly

  2. US Interest rates flat to slightly lower

  3. Japanese JGB flat

  4. BUT, Crude oil - a major drop back toward the lows of @ 60 per barrel

    LINK to Chart: https://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/CO/C5

Keep reading with a 7-day free trial

Subscribe to The Occasional Speculator to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 The Occasional Speculator
Publisher Terms
Substack
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share