The Occasional Speculator

Share this post

Fed Power to Suppress Interest Rates Weakened by 2021 Inflation

www.theoccasionalspeculator.com

Fed Power to Suppress Interest Rates Weakened by 2021 Inflation

The Occasional Speculator
Aug 11, 2021
2
Share this post

Fed Power to Suppress Interest Rates Weakened by 2021 Inflation

www.theoccasionalspeculator.com

The efficacy of the US government (part of the Fed’s QE) using massive sell orders to dramatically suppress certain commodities (such as precious metals and the interest rate on Treasuries) is weakening this year- check out gold

https://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/GD/?anticache=1628716718

…and note that the gold price per ounce having dropped in two days by $125- from $1800 to $1675- took only yesterday and today to recover by $75 (most of the loss) closing at over $1750!

I think this illustrates that such manipulation is less effective as a result of the enormous surge in inflation in 2021 and the increased media focus on the credibility of the Fed.

This gives me hope that my short position on the June 2022 Eurodollar (currently at 99.79) begins to pay off sooner rather than later.

2
Share this post

Fed Power to Suppress Interest Rates Weakened by 2021 Inflation

www.theoccasionalspeculator.com
2 Comments
author
The Occasional Speculator
Nov 29, 2021Author

hi Ralph- I think the impact of the Bitcoin market on gold has become more significant now that the $ size of the Bitcoin market is so much bigger. But I don't think that impact is a reason to stay out of speculating in gold or silver because cryptos and precious metals are complimentary rather than competitive inflation hedges.

Expand full comment
Reply
Ralph Humphrey
Sep 7, 2021

Do you think Bitcoin is holding down the price of gold?

Expand full comment
Reply
TopNewCommunity

No posts

Ready for more?

© 2023 The Occasional Speculator
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start WritingGet the app
Substack is the home for great writing